| Title: | Islam or the Constitution? Islamabad’s Shri Krishna Temple Dilemma |
| Author/s: | Imran Ahmed |
| Abstract: | Questions pertaining to whether the constitutional rights afforded to non-Muslim communities violate Islamic norms and principles are a murky and contested area of political and legal debate in Pakistan. These tensions were played out in the recent debates regarding the construction of the Shri Krishna temple in Islamabad where objections to the temple are grounded on Islam rather than the Constitution. The legal and political effects of being squeezed in between Islam and the Constitution for non-Muslim minorities place them in a perilous, ambiguous and vulnerable position. |
| Date: | 29 December 2020 |
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| Title: | Impact of the RCEP on South Asia |
| Author/s: | Mohammad Masudur Rahman |
| Abstract: | South Asian countries like Bangladesh can benefit from free trade agreements such as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership. Being the world’s second biggest apparel exporting country, Bangladesh has a huge skilled labour force to offer to the global market. Such agreements with important trading partners will not only ensure market access for both goods and services for the South Asian countries but also reflect transparency and accountability in the effort to attract foreign direct investment. |
| Date: | 9 December 2020 |
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| Title: | Potential Joe Biden Administration and United States-Pakistan Relations |
| Author/s: | Touqir Hussain |
| Abstract: | The history of fluctuating United States (US)-Pakistan relations will face another watershed moment under a Joe Biden administration. By now, familiar issues will still weigh on the relationship but present new challenges and opportunities in a changed regional and global environment. |
| Date: | 9 November 2020 |
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| Title: | National Commission for Minorities in Pakistan: Problems of Inclusion, Jurisdiction, Independence and Legitimacy |
| Author/s: | Imran Ahmed |
| Abstract: | The impetus to establish the National Commission for Minorities in Pakistan arose from a Supreme Court order to redress grave concerns of and injustices against religious minorities in the country. While the Supreme Court put forward a decisive plan of action to create a strong and independent statutory body to monitor, realise and safeguard the rights of minorities, the political will to create such a body has been almost entirely absent. The body which emerged in May 2020 is neither inclusive nor autonomous and it is not likely to be able to effect substantive change. |
| Date: | 31 October 2020 |
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| Title: | Resilient Supply Chain Initiative: Attracting Japanese Investment to Bangladesh |
| Author/s: | Mohammad Masudur Rahman |
| Abstract: | Japanese multinationals are looking for alternative investment opportunities, either in a ‘China exit’ or a ‘China-plus’ strategy, and the Japanese government is supporting them in finding suitable markets for their investments. Bangladesh has several geopolitical and economic advantages. Rapid socio-economic development and a growing middle-class have made Bangladesh an ideal place for investment. Streamlining domestic regulatory policies, infrastructure development and deeper regional integration through free trade agreements could bring investments into Bangladesh. |
| Date: | 12 October 2020 |
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| Title: | India’s Farm Reforms: Protests Rise as State Controls Fail |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | The Indian parliament recently passed far-reaching agricultural reforms reducing the control of states in agricultural marketing. While these promise better economic prospects for farmers, political protests abound over lesser state involvement, deeper corporate control of agriculture and fear of withdrawal of minimum support price. |
| Date: | 24 September 2020 |
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| Title: | Agriculture Reform Legislations: Farmer Opposition in North India |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | The Indian government introduced a slew of legislations in the parliament aimed at certain reform measures in agriculture marketing, contract farming and essential commodities act. Though seen as a major reform move, the legislations have evoked strong protests from the farming and traders’ communities in Punjab. The state government is supporting the farmers in their agitation. State political compulsions have forced a minister of the Shiromani Akali Dal, an alliance partner of the National Democratic Alliance, to resign from the cabinet. The legislation is seen as putting farmers at a disadvantage, diluting the hold of commission agents in the food procurement operations and adversely affecting state revenues. It is feared that the agitation may envelope other states too. |
| Date: | 21 September 2020 |
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| Title: | India and Shinzo Abe’s Strategic Legacy |
| Author/s: | Chilamkuri Raja Mohan |
| Abstract: | Prime Minister Shinzo Abe played a significant role in strengthening Japan’s relationship with India, which resulted in New Delhi and Tokyo signing a major agreement on military cooperation. However, that apart, Abe will also be remembered for moving post-World War Two Japan out of its defensive comfort zone under American shadow and encouraging Asians to take responsibility for their own security. |
| Date: | 15 September 2020 |
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| Title: | India’s GDP Decline won’t halt unless Services Recover |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | India’s latest gross domestic product (GDP) numbers shrunk by 23.9 per cent, reflecting a huge contraction in the domestic services industries following the imposition of a country-wide lockdown to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic. These industries, contributing to more than 60 per cent of the GDP, are unlikely to recover soon, given the prolongation of COVID-19. While the later quarters might experience weak positive growth as more activities resume, FY2020-21 should experience overall negative growth and go down as one of the worst years in India’s modern economic history. |
| Date: | 3 September 2020 |
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| Title: | Governing Non-personal Data in India |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | As the Indian government continues to debate the Personal Data Protection Bill in Parliament, the report by a recent committee on non-personal data raises fresh questions on whether the government will altogether sacrifice privacy at the altar of controlling data. |
| Date: | 27 August 2020 |
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| Title: | Inflationary Pressures or New Opportunities: Will Indian Industry Buckle or Bounce? |
| Author/s: | S Narayan |
| Abstract: | The Indian economy is at the crossroads. While there is worry about inflation, unemployment and rising prices, there is also healthy activity in the financial markets and growing interest among foreign investors. Will Indian businesses embrace these new opportunities? |
| Date: | 27 August 2020 |
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| Title: | India and the Deepening Sino-Pak Alliance |
| Author/s: | Chilamkuri Raja Mohan |
| Abstract: | As China and Pakistan deepen their strategic alliance and intensify their coordination on the Kashmir question and other regional issues, India’s relations with its two most important neighbours are likely to become more challenging now than before. The larger geopolitical churn among the major powers and the regional environment further complicates this challenge. |
| Date: | 24 August 2020 |
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| Title: | Challenging Times for Bangladesh’s Economy |
| Author/s: | Mohammad Masudur Rahman |
| Abstract: | The COVID-19 pandemic has already had a significant negative impact on the Bangladesh economy. Exports and imports have fallen significantly, especially in the garment sector. The unemployment rate is the highest in its history, which has deepened poverty and income inequality. The Bangladesh government has taken several initiatives to mitigate the adverse effects of the pandemic. Public health directives, different social safety net programmes and stimulus packages are the main instruments to combat the pandemic. The success of mitigating the outbreak depends on these packages being implemented efficiently and transparently. |
| Date: | 21 August 2020 |
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| Title: | India’s Direct Tax Reforms: Transparent Taxation and Taxpayers’ Charter |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | The Indian government has unveiled a set of reforms in the direct tax sector to ensure faceless assessment and appeal, while also announcing a taxpayers’ charter. The changes are welcome and it is hoped that these will be followed by sensitising officers in the department to abide by the spirit of the reform, apart from bringing about a change in their approach and mindset. The success of the scheme will depend on the sincerity in its implementation. |
| Date: | 20 August 2020 |
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| Title: | Language Barriers: Inequalities of India’s National Education Policy |
| Author/s: | Vani Swarupa Murali, Diego Maiorano |
| Abstract: | The Indian government recently approved a new National Education Policy that proposes vast reforms to school structure and higher education. The policy also includes a new language policy, which states that the preferred medium of instruction should be the mother tongue, local or regional language till Class 5 or even Class 8. The paper discusses the possible inequalities that this policy could result in. |
| Date: | 18 August 2020 |
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| Title: | Presidential Powers in Pakistan: Accountability Concerns |
| Author/s: | Imran Ahmed |
| Abstract: | The COVID-19 pandemic has pushed national governments to respond swiftly to critical or emerging social, economic or political exigencies. Leaders around the world have often instrumentalised features in their national constitutions which allow their governments to quickly enact laws that bypass democratic checks. The need to balance the trade-off between efficiency and oversight is now a fundamental political and philosophical problem for practitioners and scholars alike. In the Pakistani context, lawmakers have long been concerned with issues of accountability when it comes to the use and abuse of presidential powers. Recent political developments have spotlighted the urgency of this debate in light of a latest Bill which seeks to place checks on the president’s legislative powers. |
| Date: | 13 August 2020 |
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| Title: | China’s Hydropower Projects on River Brahmaputra |
| Author/s: | Amit Ranjan |
| Abstract: | A number of hydropower projects on the Chinese side of River Brahmaputra are a cause of concern for India. While some of these worries may be genuine, scholars argue that others stemming from the fear of a decline in water flow are unfounded. |
| Date: | 6 August 2020 |
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| Title: | Attracting Fresh Foreign Investments: Opportunities for Tamil Nadu |
| Author/s: | S Narayan |
| Abstract: | Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, Tamil Nadu has been actively trying to attract foreign investment, especially in the manufacturing sector. Several multinationals have already announced large-scale investments in the state. With a strong political will and impending state elections next year, the time may just be right. |
| Date: | 21 July 2020 |
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| Title: | Pakistan’s Legislative Gap: Cause for Political and Constitutional Concern |
| Author/s: | Imran Ahmed |
| Abstract: | Pakistan’s 18th Amendment, passed in 2010, allocates health as a provincial subject and any talk of altering the mandate of the Amendment has usually been met with vociferous opposition from the provincial governments. This, together with the lack of legislations related to pandemic and infectious diseases, misalignment of policies and priorities and the resultant reliance on the army has posed major governance, coordination and political problems. |
| Date: | 20 July 2020 |
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| Title: | Tik-Tok-ed: India’s Ban on Chinese Apps |
| Author/s: | Nishant Rajeev and Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | India recently banned 59 Chinese-origin mobile applications citing national security concerns. This may be the first step in a limited decoupling between the two countries. However, given the level of penetration of Chinese goods and investments into Indian markets, decoupling is fraught with challenges. Furthermore, it is not apparent whether this development would in any way constrain China’s assertive behaviour. |
| Date: | 14 July 2020 |
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| Title: | SAARC-ASEAN: Post-COVID-19 Relationship |
| Author/s: | Chu Minh Thao |
| Abstract: | The COVID-19 pandemic presents a great opportunity for the member countries of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations to strengthen their relationship in areas such as trade, digital economy, security and social issues. |
| Date: | 13 July 2020 |
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| Title: | Pakistan’s Sugar Scandal Report: Political Manoeuvre or Real Accountability |
| Author/s: | Muhammad Bin Khalid and Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury |
| Abstract: | The Pakistan government has published an investigation report on the sugar crisis in the country that has led to political rifts. The report has exposed both government inefficiency and massive profiteering by industrialists. However, is this revelation a mere political stunt or will it result in real change? |
| Date: | 9 July 2020 |
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| Title: | Developments on Nepal-China Border: Concerns for India |
| Author/s: | Amit Ranjan |
| Abstract: | In spite of denial by the Nepalese government, there are media reports about Chinese “encroachment” into Nepali land along their border. Due to its contiguity, any such territorial changes are consequential to India. |
| Date: | 1 July 2020 |
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| Title: | India at the UNSC 2021: Reinforcing Reforms |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | India will enter the United Nations Security Council in early 2021 as a non-permanent member for a two-year term. The Indian agenda heavily focuses on reforming the multilateral system but the COVID-19 pandemic could affect the forum’s proceedings sooner than later. |
| Date: | 1 July 2020 |
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| Title: | Should India Ban Imports from China? |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | The outrage over the killing of Indian soldiers on the border by Chinese troops has led to a call to ban the use of Chinese goods in India. This emotion is premised on the assumption that such action would hurt Chinese producers. However, a host of factors would have to be taken into consideration to ensure that Indian industries or consumers are, in fact, not penalised by such a ban. |
| Date: | 22 June 2020 |
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| Title: | The Diamer-Bhasha Project: A Continuing Challenge for Pakistan |
| Author/s: | Amit Ranjan |
| Abstract: | First proposed in 1980, the Diamer-Bhasha Dam has failed to see the day of light in the last 40 years. Pakistan has now inked a deal with a Chinese state-run firm to build the dam. However, it faces several challenges. |
| Date: | 12 June 2020 |
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| Title: | Of Insects and Insecticides: Locust attacks in South Asia |
| Author/s: | Nadia Dohadwala and Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | Swarms of desert locusts have entered India and Pakistan endangering livelihoods and leaving many without food. Excessive rainfall, as a result of climate change, is responsible for the veritable invasion of locusts. Measures undertaken by both governments and international organisations have shown considerable potential but they require more attention. |
| Date: | 11 June 2020 |
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| Title: | Liberalisation of Indian Agriculture: Creating Efficient Farm Markets |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | India has amended its Essential Commodities Act of 1955, enabling farmers to directly sell various agricultural commodities to traders and retailers. This could be a game-changer for Indian agriculture by attracting large investments in food retail and encouraging farm exports. |
| Date: | 10 June 2020 |
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| Title: | Repatriating Migrants during COVID-19: Challenges for the Sri Lankan Government |
| Author/s: | Chulanee Attanayake |
| Abstract: | Soon after Sri Lanka closed its border to control the influx of imported COVID-19 cases, hundreds of thousands of Sri Lankans living or stranded overseas asked their government to bring them back. While the government is responsible for looking after all its citizens, repatriation is a calculated risk in times of a pandemic. In addition straining the healthcare sector, repatriation can adversely impact Sri Lanka’s foreign relations. |
| Date: | 6 June 2020 |
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| Title: | Effects of COVID-19 on South Asia’s International Relations |
| Author/s: | Shivshankar Menon |
| Abstract: | The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant disruption to South Asia, severely damaging its economic development prospects. While this has exacerbated inequality in all South Asian societies, there are also potential opportunities in this new situation. However, will the leaders rise to the occasion and recalibrate relations or allow the fraught external environment bring its quarrels to the region resulting in a rough ride ahead? |
| Date: | 3 June 2020 |
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| Title: | The Rise of the Right-Wing: Student Activism in North India |
| Author/s: | Eirliani Abdul Rahman |
| Abstract: | This paper examines student activism in the past decade in North India and the reasons for students becoming more vocal, particularly against the government, in current day India. |
| Date: | 26 May 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 and South Asian Tourism: Challenging Times Ahead |
| Author/s: | Deeparghya Mukherjee |
| Abstract: | Tourism, which contributes significantly to the gross domestic product of several small South Asian countries, has been badly hit by the COVID-19 outbreak. It will not be an easy road ahead for these countries as the world is likely to grapple with a new normal which will include travel restrictions, social distancing and increased travel costs. The respective governments will need to provide direct financial support in the hope of reviving this sector. |
| Date: | 19 May 2020 |
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| Title: | Pandemic Politics in India |
| Author/s: | Ronojoy Sen |
| Abstract: | While conventional politics in India might have taken a backseat in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the way the crisis is being handled is itself intensely political. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s handling of the crisis has enhanced his popularity but there have been questions on the plight of migrant workers and the operation of Indian federalism. The long-term impact of COVID-19 though might be felt most in the expansion of the state, the centralisation of power and the measures rolled out to tackle the fallout of the pandemic. |
| Date: | 15 May 2020 |
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| Title: | Goa Tourism: Under the Shadow of COVID-19 |
| Author/s: | Amit Ranjan |
| Abstract: | Tourism contributes about 30 per cent to Goa’s gross domestic product and provides livelihood to a large number of people. However, following the outbreak and spread of COVID-19 pandemic in India, tourists have temporarily stopped visiting the state. This has led to an economic crisis. |
| Date: | 14 May 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 and India: Economic Imperative Drives New Strategy |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent economic package amounting to nearly 10 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product affirms a distinct change in India’s strategy to manage the COVID-19 pandemic in the country. The focus seems to be on converting a situation into an opportunity to reorganise and recharge a moribund economy. |
| Date: | 13 May 2020 |
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| Title: | Aarogya Setu: Containing Disease or Violating Privacy? |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | The Indian government’s new COVID-19 mobile application, Aarogya Setu, has emerged as a key tool in helping the government curb the spread of Coronavirus. However, its development and use has stoked fears of whether the data collected will be used for the purposes claimed. |
| Date: | 12 May 2020 |
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| Title: | India Rethinks the Non-Aligned Movement |
| Author/s: | Chilamkuri Raja Mohan |
| Abstract: | As India strengthens its own voice in world affairs, a more active engagement with the Non-Aligned Movement and, more broadly, the Global South, is coming into view. The new activism is expected to help India mobilise international support on issues of national concern as well as generate greater political space amidst the unfolding rivalry between the United States and China. |
| Date: | 11 May 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 in India: Time to Reform Labour Laws |
| Author/s: | S Narayan |
| Abstract: | The Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh governments have announced the suspension of existing labour legislations. This is a reform that has long been pending in India. While there may be protests, the suspension is likely to provide new employment opportunities in the post-COVID-19 economy. |
| Date: | 10 May 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 Fallout in India: State-led Economic Recovery and Reforms |
| Author/s: | S Narayan |
| Abstract: | The states in India have already initiated several reforms to speed up economic recovery post COVID-19. These could well lead to several demand-driven reforms at the central level. |
| Date: | 8 May 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 and Indian States: Spread localises in Economically Significant States |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | India’s lockdown has changed to a localised containment strategy through the identification of the ‘Red’, ‘Orange’ and ‘Green’ zones. The classification reveals more than two-fifth of India being virus-free and several states on way to becoming so. Around eight states, including the national capital Delhi, remain heavily infected. The prolongation of the pandemic in these economically significant states would affect national economic recovery and strain government resources. |
| Date: | 7 May 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 Crisis in Bhutan: An Opportunity to Boost Agriculture |
| Author/s: | Amit Ranjan |
| Abstract: | Bhutan has only seven confirmed COVID-19 positive cases as on 3 May 2020. However, the pandemic has exposed the consequences of its dependence on food imports. To make Bhutan self-reliant in food production, the Bhutanese government wants to use this crisis as an opportunity to boost the country’s agriculture sector. |
| Date: | 6 May 2020 |
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| Title: | Maharashtra Chief Minister’s Election: The Governor’s Role under Scrutiny |
| Author/s: | Ronojoy Sen |
| Abstract: | The Election Commission of India has scheduled elections for Maharashtra’s Legislative Council on 21 May 2020. The state’s Chief Minister, Uddhav Thackeray, will contest the election with the intention of meeting the deadline of becoming a legislator, which is mandatory for ministerial positions. However, the Maharashtra Governor’s role in delaying the election has caused controversy. |
| Date: | 5 May 2020 |
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| Title: | Facebook-Reliance Jio Partnership: India’s Tilt towards the United States |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | The recently clinched partnership between Reliance Jio and Facebook appears to be a marquis deal for both companies. It also holds implications for India’s technology transition and Asia’s broader geo-economic trajectory. |
| Date: | 30 April 2020 |
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| Title: | Facebook’s Investment in Reliance Jio: Lunging Ahead of Walmart and Amazon |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | Facebook’s investment of nearly US$6 billion (S$8.5 billion) in Reliance Jio entrenches it deeply in India’s online retail. WhatsApp’s vast subscriber base in India and its digital payments platform, when coupled with the data and telecommunication services of Jio, results in a greater competitive advantage over rivals Amazon and Walmart. The investment also enables Facebook more leverage in influencing India’s data policies. |
| Date: | 28 April 2020 |
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| Title: | The Reliance Jio-Facebook Deal: Creating a One-stop Shop for Consumers |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | Facebook has bought a 10-per cent stake by investing US$5.7 billion (S$8.11 billion) in the Reliance group-promoted digital business unit, Jio Mart. The investment has served to de-leverage Reliance Industries Ltd’s balance sheet. The new entity has the potential to create a one-stop shop for consumers to access e-commerce, digital payments and social media. However, while it portends to connect clients with their local grocery shops for online transactions, it could create issues of monopoly, data sanctity and net neutrality. |
| Date: | 27 April 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 in India: Re-emergence of the Centre and Prime Minister Narendra Modi |
| Author/s: | S Narayan |
| Abstract: | The management of the COVID-19 crisis has led to the re-emergence of central authority in India, dilution of federalism and re-establishment of Prime Minister Narendra Modi as a national leader. |
| Date: | 27 April 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 in Sri Lanka: A Litmus Test for the New Government |
| Author/s: | Chulanee Attanayake |
| Abstract: | On 12 April 2020, the Sri Lankan government announced that universities and schools across the country would re-open for a new term in mid-May 2020, signalling that it is considering an exit strategy to end the island-wide curfew, the reason being that the virus outbreak has been contained to a manageable level. While retaining the COVID-19 curve without allowing an exponential spike is testimony to the government’s success in its response to the pandemic, the real litmus test will be its success in managing the post-COVID challenges. |
| Date: | 16 April 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 in India: Re-thinking Economic Strategies |
| Author/s: | S Narayan |
| Abstract: | The initial 21-day lockdown in India is being extended by another fortnight, as the trade-off between saving lives and providing for livelihoods is becoming a difficult choice for politicians, health workers and economists. This paper examines the dilemmas and offers some suggestions. |
| Date: | 13 April 2020 |
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| Title: | The Maldives’ Response to COVID-19 |
| Author/s: | Amit Ranjan |
| Abstract: | Like many other countries, COVID-19 has also caused a public health emergency in the Maldives. The small island nation has received external assistance to help it to deal with this pandemic. However, in the long term, its economy will be severely affected by this global menace. |
| Date: | 6 April 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 Indian States: Those with Fewer Cases cannot be Complacent |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | Almost all states of India have now reported confirmed cases of COVID-19. While the southern and western coastal states have a higher number of cases, hinterland states like New Delhi and Uttar Pradesh are witnessing a spurt. However, states with fewer cases cannot afford to be complacent as many of these states lack the capacity to fight COVID-19 and may end up with high fatality rates. |
| Date: | 2 April 2020 |
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| Title: | Sri Lanka’s Online Battle against COVID-19 |
| Author/s: | Archana Atmakuri and Chulanee Attanayake |
| Abstract: | Sri Lanka recently ordered the arrest of citizens who were spreading rumours about COVID-19. Fighting the spread of misinformation is not confined to Sri Lanka. Yet, some countries are better at dealing with fake news than others. This paper reviews Sri Lanka’s use of social media to keep citizens informed and alert in fighting misinformation. It also highlights the best practices of other affected countries. |
| Date: | 1 April 2020 |
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| Title: | Measures by the Reserve Bank of India: Containing the Fallout of COVID-19 |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | The Reserve Bank of India, working in tandem with the government, has announced a package of measures designed to introduce liquidity in the market, ensure the transmission of the benefit of lower interest rates and provide forbearance to borrowers who may not be able to meet their repayment obligations. The move is seen as a major succour to borrowers in these rather stressful times. |
| Date: | 30 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Pakistan Grapples with COVID-19 |
| Author/s: | Iqbal Singh Sevea |
| Abstract: | Pakistan is the country most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in South Asia. This paper examines the steps taken by the Imran Khan government to contain the virus and tide its impact, as well as reviews the challenges confronting the country. |
| Date: | 25 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Maharashtra’s Fight against COVID-19 |
| Author/s: | Amit Ranjan |
| Abstract: | In India, Maharashtra has, to-date, recorded the highest number of confirmed cases of COVID-19. Several measures taken by the government to stop the spread of the pandemic will impact the state’s economy and affect the vulnerable sections of the population. |
| Date: | 25 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Scindia’s Switch and the Role of Ideology in Indian Politics |
| Author/s: | Ronojoy Sen |
| Abstract: | The exit of former Member of Parliament, Jyotiraditya Scindia, from the Congress, along with 22 Congress members of the Madhya Pradesh Legislative Assembly, has resulted in the fall of the state government. Scindia’s exit underlines the dominance. |
| Date: | 23 March 2020 |
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| Title: | India and COVID-19: The Battle Intensifies and Challenges Emerge |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | COVID-19 has not yet spread among the communities in India. The country is fighting hard to arrest its spread through severe travel restrictions. Its main challenge is to expand domestic testing and management capacities. Human and financial resources would experience severe pressure if the outbreak does not ebb. |
| Date: | 19 March 2020 |
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| Title: | The Modi Initiative: Can COVID-19 Resuscitate the SAARC? |
| Author/s: | Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury |
| Abstract: | The initiative by Indian Prime minister Narendra Modi to conduct a South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) video conference on confronting COVID-19 as a common threat may not immediately resuscitate the moribund SAARC. However, the initiative and the supporting regional leaders deserve praise for the effort, which might help the process. |
| Date: | 16 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Afghanistan: The United States-Taliban Deal and Beyond |
| Author/s: | Touqir Hussain |
| Abstract: | The United States (US) withdraws from wars it initiates as thoughtlessly as it enters them. Policy dominates the decision to start a war but, as policy fails, politics dictates the decision to get out. This paper looks into the future of Afghanistan in the wake of the US-Taliban deal that brings an end to America’s war but leaves uncertainties behind. In effect, the Americans have solved their problem and are leaving it to the Afghans to solve theirs. |
| Date: | 16 March 2020 |
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| Title: | AI and Facial Recognition in India |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | Indian Home Minister Amit Shah’s admission of his government’s use of facial recognition technologies to detect perpetrators of the Delhi riots has renewed questions concerning the governance of these technologies. |
| Date: | 13 March 2020 |
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| Title: | The Doha Deal: The Bumpy Road Ahead to Afghan Peace |
| Author/s: | Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury |
| Abstract: | Afghanistan inched forward towards peace with the signing of the accord between the United States and the Taliban in Doha in Qatar on 29 February 2020. However, the road ahead appears very bumpy as of now, and fraught with many disparate issues. Nonetheless, the fact remains that the Taliban sense that an ultimate victory is a matter of time. |
| Date: | 13 March 2020 |
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| Title: | The State of Democracy in South Asia |
| Author/s: | Diego Maiorano |
| Abstract: | According to one of the most widely used indexes to assess democratic quality across the world, the Freedom House Index, South Asia is going through a democratic backsliding. This is in line with global trends, where, for the 14th year in a row, democracies and civil liberties have deteriorated. In the 2020 Freedom House Report, India saw the largest decline of the score among the 25 largest democracies in the world (although it remains the only ‘free’ country in the region). Bangladesh and Pakistan also contributed to the region’s democratic backsliding. |
| Date: | 10 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Yes Bank in Moratorium: How it Collapsed and What Next? |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | The private sector Yes Bank Limited, which was granted banking licence in 2004, had been showing steady signs of decline in its asset quality. There were also issues of questionable corporate governance, weak regulatory compliance and its inability to raise adequate capital to cover potential non-performing accounts. In the face of such decline in the bank’s financial health, the government has imposed a moratorium on the bank and capped withdrawals. The Reserve Bank of India has also proposed a restructuring plan for the bank. |
| Date: | 10 March 2020 |
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| Title: | COVID-19 and India: A Long Battle Ahead? |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | India, which appeared relatively unscathed by the Coronavirus, has reported a spike in cases over the last few days. As Indian authorities put in place extensive screening mechanisms and detection measures, they are concerns over the adequacy of detection facilities and trained human resources to battle the virus. |
| Date: | 10 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Regulating Cyberspace: Pakistan’s New Social Media Rules |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | Pakistan’s new social media law recently approved by the Pakistani cabinet expects social media firms like Facebook to establish domestic offices, store data and work with government officials to identify and remove content that transgresses particular social and political norms. The new law places the government as the arbiter when it comes to online content. |
| Date: | 4 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Coping with Coronavirus and China: Bangladesh’s Twin Challenges |
| Author/s: | Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury |
| Abstract: | Bangladesh has so far avoided any direct impact of the Coronavirus crisis. However, given its close trading and economic ties with China, there are growing apprehensions that some negative effects would be unavoidable. Therefore, it may be wise for Dhaka to reduce the overdependence on China by exploring possible alternative partners. |
| Date: | 3 March 2020 |
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| Title: | Narendra Modi’s India sheds Historic Reservations about the United States |
| Author/s: | Chilamkuri Raja Mohan |
| Abstract: | The unprecedented public welcome given to United States (US) President Donald Trump in India marks an end to India’s traditional political hesitations about engaging the US. Although no major agreements were signed during the visit on 24 and 25 February 2020 and a trade deal remained elusive, the expansive and expressive bonhomie between Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi signalled the growing alignment of US and Indian interests in the Subcontinent and the Indo-Pacific. |
| Date: | 1 March 2020 |
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| Title: | United States-India Trade Deal: Will it Happen? |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | No trade deal was signed between India and the United States (US) during President Donald Trump’s recent visit to India. Is a US-India trade deal possible? This paper argues that such a deal, if it at all materialises, will be limited in content and largely symbolic with a clear tilt towards increasing US imports into India. |
| Date: | 1 March 2020 |
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| Title: | AI for All: India’s Artificial Intelligence Approach |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | India’s approach toward developing artificial intelligence (AI) technologies mirrors its economic transformation – focused in leveraging AI technologies to tackle development challenges in areas like health, education, agriculture and transportation, and constrained in that ongoing efforts are stymied by prevailing gaps in deploying technologies to modernise various sectors. How India resolves this tension will determine AI’s efficacy and utility in driving economic growth. |
| Date: | 26 February 2020 |
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| Title: | The BJP at the Centre and in the States: Divergence, Big Time |
| Author/s: | Diego Maiorano |
| Abstract: | Over the course of 2019 and 2020, a clear trend has emerged in India’s political landscape. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by Narendra Modi, performs much better at national elections as compared to state elections. This reveals a fundamental contradiction of the BJP. On the one hand, Modi’s popularity is crucial to winning nationally; on the other, the absence of strong regional party leaders weakens the party’s prospects at the local level. |
| Date: | 20 February 2020 |
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| Title: | India’s Supreme Court sets Norms to Bar Candidates with Criminal Record |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | In 2004, 24 per cent of the members in parliament in India had a criminal record. This increased to 30 per cent in 2009 and 34 per cent in 2014 before shooting up to 43 per cent in 2019. Expressing concern over the rise in candidates with criminal records contesting elections, the Supreme Court has directed political parties to provide reasons on their choice of such candidates. Political parties will be required to justify the choice based on the qualifications, achievements and merits of tainted candidates and not rely on the ‘winnability’ factor alone. |
| Date: | 17 February 2020 |
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| Title: | Pakistan and Malaysia: Ties that Bind |
| Author/s: | Iqbal Singh Sevea |
| Abstract: | Pakistan’s Prime Minister, Imran Khan, arrived in Kuala Lumpur on 3 February 2020 on his second state visit to Malaysia. This paper analyses the economic and geopolitical developments behind this state visit. |
| Date: | 14 February 2020 |
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| Title: | Aam Aadmi Party Storms Back to Power in Delhi |
| Author/s: | Ronojoy Sen |
| Abstract: | The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) was re-elected in Delhi with an overwhelming mandate, winning 62 seats compared to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)’s eight. The AAP’s victory was a triumph of its campaign message on governance issues. In contrast, the BJP’s polarising campaign failed to deliver. The Delhi verdict has lessons for both the BJP and regional parties in the coming elections. |
| Date: | 14 February 2020 |
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| Title: | The Reserve Bank of India announces Growth-oriented Measures |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | It has been an accepted fact that the Indian government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had very little elbow room to provide a package of measures which would serve as a stimulus for growth. The RBI, without losing out on its mandate to ensure inflation targeting, has announced a series of measures designed to provide much needed liquidity to sectors which were starved for the same. These are also sectors that have the potential to generate employment and create a demand impetus. The move has been applauded by all. |
| Date: | 10 February 2020 |
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| Title: | Woes of Wuhan: The Politics of a Pandemic |
| Author/s: | Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury |
| Abstract: | The spread of coronavirus from Wuhan in China has assumed pandemic proportions. Of the regions of the world, South Asia is particularly vulnerable to it. Still, decisions in this regard are not immune from politics and diplomacy. |
| Date: | 5 February 2020 |
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| Title: | Xi Jinping’s Visit to Myanmar: Implications for the Bay of Bengal |
| Author/s: | Atmakuri Lakshmi Archana, Yogesh Joshi |
| Abstract: | China’s intention to make inroads into the Bay of Bengal has become clearer with President Xi Jinping’s recent visit to Myanmar which will not only boost infrastructure projects in Myanmar but will also significantly increase China’s influence in the region. |
| Date: | 4 February 2020 |
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| Title: | Analysing the Crackdown on the Pashtun Movement in Pakistan |
| Author/s: | Iqbal Singh Sevea |
| Abstract: | Over the past week, several activists of the Pashtun Tahaffuz Movement have been detained across Pakistan. This paper analyses the reasons behind this. |
| Date: | 4 February 2020 |
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| Title: | India Budget 2020-21: Inviting Risks on Hope |
| Author/s: | Amitendu Palit |
| Abstract: | Very few Indian budgets in recent years have been presented under more difficult economic circumstances than that this year. The Budget for 2020-21 chose to be expansionary to revive growth and compromised on fiscal discipline in the process. This might turn out to be a risky choice if the gross domestic product growth does not revive. |
| Date: | 3 February 2020 |
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| Title: | India’s Annual Budget 2020-21: Will it Revive the Growth of the Economy? |
| Author/s: | Vinod Rai |
| Abstract: | There was much expectation in India on the Budget for 2020-21. Speculation was rife that the government would press the pause button on the fiscal deficit targets and provide substantially enhanced public expenditure to kickstart the economy. However, worries bordering on expenditure profligacy were also being expressed. The Budget, as presented, seems to have addressed all areas of concern but the jury will be out as to the extent that it can address and reform the structural factors causing the downswing in the economy. |
| Date: | 3 February 2020 |
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| Title: | India Presents a Conservative Budget for 2020-21 |
| Author/s: | S Narayan |
| Abstract: | The Indian Budget for 2020-21 was disappointing in that it failed to introduce measures for economic reforms. At the same time, it included a number of ideas that have been at the heart of the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS). Overall, it was a conservative, political budget, furthering the ideology of the RSS |
| Date: | 3 February 2020 |
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| Title: | Xi Jinping in Myanmar: Complex ‘Pauk-Phaw’ Relations in Operation |
| Author/s: | Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury |
| Abstract: | The relationship between Myanmar and China has, in the past, been fraught with complexities. China may be taking advantage of Myanmar’s current global adversities to push its agenda hard. It may be poised to achieve its objectives. For this, it seems prepared to ride roughshod over regional and global sentiments. |
| Date: | 22 January 2020 |
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| Title: | Pakistan’s Taliban Dilemma |
| Author/s: | Touqir Hussain |
| Abstract: | With a prospective United States-Taliban peace deal, the American role in war and peace in Afghanistan will diminish. And Pakistan and the Taliban will have an enhanced role. However, Pakistan has to carefully weigh its future approach to the Afghan conflict as it will matter even more than before for itself and for Afghanistan. Pakistan should start looking at scenarios other than the return of the Taliban to full power in Afghanistan. The Taliban are no longer just a foreign policy issue for Islamabad. Pakistan’s ongoing struggle against militant organisations will not fully succeed without containing the Taliban. With the Taliban at the helm in Kabul, any foreign policy benefit will come at a domestic cost. Pakistan should strengthen its dialogue with Kabul, work with China and also bring other countries in the region on board. It will improve Pakistan’s regional profile. And we may see some realistic prospects of peace in Afghanistan. |
| Date: | 16 January 2020 |
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| Title: | Indian Foreign Policy Struggles with the Iran Dilemma |
| Author/s: | Yogesh Joshi |
| Abstract: | The recent crisis between the United States (US) and Iran, following the killing of General Qasem Soleimani, has engendered major dilemmas for Indian foreign policy. As the Cold War between the US and Iran becomes actively hostile, India confronts difficult policy choices and cannot continue to walk the tightrope between Tehran and Washington. The precarious situation of the economy and divisive domestic politics at home have only exacerbated India’s foreign policy dilemmas. |
| Date: | 15 January 2020 |
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| Title: | India’s Personal Data Protection Bill: Increased State Power and Control |
| Author/s: | Karthik Nachiappan |
| Abstract: | Before 2019 drew to a close, the Indian government unveiled the much-awaited legislation on data protection and privacy in parliament. The new legislation has been significantly upgraded from its previous version which sought to retain a copy of all data within India. The latest version veers toward greater state control of data with space given for technology firms to retain certain kinds of data abroad with consent. |
| Date: | 7 January 2020 |
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