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    ISAS Working Papers

    Long-term studies on trends and issues in South Asia

    133 : An Approach to Forecasting Market Demand in India

    S Narayan, Sarin Paraparakath, Asha Abraham & Deepa Karthykeyan

    12 September 2011

    One of the characteristics of growth in emerging economies is the sharp growth in steel consumption resulting from public investment outlays in infrastructure, coupled with outlays in construction as the economy expands. The last decade's healthy growth of the Indian economy has led to steep rises in the consumption of steel. This paper is an attempt to econometrically analyse the growth in market demand for steel in India using aggregate sectoral demand patterns. It seeks to project demand-supply gaps up to 2014 - 2015. The results would be of interest to academics and for business.